Binary Outcome for Bitcoin: Big Rally or Sharp Drop as Alt Mania Peaks

I see Samson Mow framing Bitcoin’s near-term path as binary: either a breakout (“Godzilla” up) if capital rotates into BTC, or a sharp drawdown if altcoin mania exhausts and BTC suffers a sell-off.

I view this as a heightened-volatility environment driven by altcoin flows and sentiment rather than fundamentals. The risk is asymmetric: rapid upside is possible, but a crowded altcoin market increases the chance of a violent correction that hits BTC liquidity.

I’m watching on-chain flows, dominance metrics, and macro cues for a clear directional signal before adding exposure; until then I prefer a cautious stance and selective position sizing.