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Bitcoin: Drop Below $116K Could Trigger $1.04B CEX Liquidations

I believe Bitcoin faces a clear downside risk if it breaks under $116,000 — I estimate that CEX margin liquidations would spike to roughly $1.041 billion, amplifying the sell-off.

That level looks like a structural trigger: forced deleveraging on centralized exchanges would cascade through spot and futures liquidity, increasing volatility and likely pushing price lower in the short term.

I would treat a confirmed drop below $116k as a signal to reduce leveraged exposure, tighten risk controls, and wait for clearer post-liquidation price stability before adding positions.

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Analysis

The $116k mark appears to be a liquidity threshold where concentrated leveraged long positions on CEXs would be liquidated en masse; this mechanical deleveraging can create short-term feedback loops t...

Recommendation

I recommend watching price action around $116k, reducing or avoiding leveraged longs, and using tight stops or hedges until forced liquidations abate and volatility normalizes.

Disclaimer

The Analysis and recommendations provided are for informational purposes only. Any investment decisions should be made at your own risk. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

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