Bitcoin likely to peak Oct–Nov 2025 — prepare for volatility and a possible 2026 bear

I believe Bitcoin's current bull cycle is approaching its final phase after 997 days since the cycle low on November 21, 2022. Based on historical cycle lengths, the peak is likely within the next ~70 days, most plausibly between October 15 and November 15, 2025.

Historical bull cycles and halving-based timing point to an overlapping window around mid‑October to mid‑November 2025 (another calculation narrows it to October 19–November 20, 2025). October/November have repeatedly been strong months for Bitcoin, with several calendar dates in late October highlighted as probable highs.

I also expect heightened volatility before the top as weaker hands are shaken out. If history repeats, a bear market typically follows the peak, lasting roughly 370–410 days with an average drawdown near 66%, implying a likely downturn starting in 2026.

Given this outlook, I would prioritize risk management: consider profit taking, reduce leverage, or hedge positions as we enter the identified window while remaining alert for confirmation of a top.