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Bitcoin Monthly Candle Volatility and DCA Strategy
This week, the closing of the monthly candle suggests a likelihood of increased volatility, possibly due to large traders consolidating profits. A notable aspect is the Friday candle, which features a tall buy tail; such tails often see at least half of their size revisited, although this is not guaranteed in bullish conditions. The midpoint of this tail is approximately 116125.
Additionally, a parallel channel pattern indicates a possible return to the middle level, corresponding with the Friday NY high. This movement is expected to trigger alerts within the week.
Considering all these factors, a Dollar Cost Averaging (DCA) strategy for Bitcoin (BTC) is planned as follows, with careful position sizing based on a small leverage and risk management:
- Level 1: 117777, allocating 12.58% of capital
- Level 2: 117000, allocating 16.67% of capital, with an average cost of 117334
- Level 3: 116128, allocating 26.46% of capital, with an average cost of 116761
The total capital used if all levels are filled would be approximately 55.70%. The stop loss is set if two consecutive daily candles close below 114667.
Should the trade become invalid, a new entry zone is proposed not higher than around 112500.
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AI Analysis
The recent monthly candle close indicates a potential shift in market sentiment, often leading to heightened volatility. This is compounded by the presence of whale activity, usually indicative of pro...
AI Recommendation
Given the technical signals and pattern analysis, it is advisable to adhere to the outlined DCA plan, entering positions at the specified levels to distribute risk effectively. Regular monitoring of t...
Disclaimer
The AI analysis and recommendations provided are for informational purposes only. Any investment decisions should be made at your own risk. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
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