Bitcoin Nears Critical Phase — $300k Bull Case Is Plausible but Not Certain

I find the Stockmoney Lizards thesis plausible as a technical scenario: Bitcoin trading inside a long-term rising parallel channel and a momentum oscillator bounce can credibly support a renewed multi-year impulse. The analyst’s $180k–$200k base target by early 2026 looks like a conservative path if the midline breakout evolves into a sustained rally.

That said, the $300k–$350k outcome depends on a second-order “mainstream retail frenzy” and favorable macro/regulatory tailwinds — events that are possible but highly uncertain. Bitcoin’s market structure has matured and may not replicate past cycle magnitudes without new liquidity and broad retail participation.

I remain constructive but cautious: the technical setup favors continuation, but position sizing, drawdown planning, and trigger confirmation (breakouts or buy-on-dips into trend support) should guide decisions.