Bitcoin Odds: >50% Chance of $150K Before Next Bear

I view the executive’s claim that Bitcoin has a greater than 50% chance of reaching $150,000 before the next bear market as a plausible bullish scenario driven by halving dynamics, institutional demand, and persistent liquidity.

That said, the thesis is probabilistic, not certain — timing is uncertain and macro or regulatory shocks could trigger an earlier downturn.

I would accumulate selectively on pullbacks, watch on-chain flows and macro indicators closely, and avoid full exposure at current levels.