Bitcoin Peak Unlikely in November, Market May Peak in 2026

I believe that the peak of Bitcoin in November is unlikely. Based on historical cycles, the retail cycle won't conclude before the end of 2025. Past altcoin seasons started in the first quarter and lasted for 9 to 12 months. The current altcoin season has not yet fully begun, indicating that the current cycle is still in its early stages. Therefore, the market peak is more likely to occur in the second or third quarter of 2026 unless a catastrophic event happens or the altcoin season is completely absent.

My analysis is rooted in the historical data of crypto market cycles, which lends credibility to this conclusion. Prior cycles show that altcoin seasons serve as key indicators for predicting market peaks. The current upward trend, including metrics like ETH/BTC growth, supports the idea that the market is still in its initial phase. However, we should remain cautious about unforeseen events that could disrupt these typical market patterns.