Bitcoin price break below $113k pressures near-term downside - Expert Analysis | Cryptochase AI
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Bitcoin price break below $113k pressures near-term downside

I’m watching Bitcoin retreat after it dipped below the $113,000 support and slid to an intraday low around $112,147. Over the last week, the marquee crypto has fallen roughly 4.9% versus the dollar, triggering meaningful negative momentum. The $28 million of long positions wiped out on Thursday underscores the sentiment shift as price action stayed stubbornly weak.

My read is that the near-term risk remains skewed to the downside until the price can reclaim and sustain above the $113k area, ideally with higher volume to confirm footing. The combination of broken support, persistent selling pressure, and liquidity dynamics suggesting waning bullish conviction indicates further downside risk if buyers fail to re-emerge near key levels.

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Analysis

Context matters: Bitcoin’s breach of the $113k support creates a technical hurdle that could invite additional stop losses and further selling pressure. The intraday low near $112k signals renewed seller activity, while the concurrent long-liquidation suggests weak demand at current levels rather than aggressive new buying. In the near term, price action will depend on market liquidity, macro risk appetite, and whether buyers step in to defend critical junctures (e.g., $110k–$112k zone) or if sellers gain the upper hand.

Fundamental catalysts remain mixed. On-chain data may show mixed activity—short-term holders capitulating could harden resistance for a bounce, while longer-term holders may continue to accumulate on dips, cushioning downside. External factors such as macro liquidity, regulatory cues, and risk sentiment will shape the velocity of any move back toward the previous range. The risk-reward favors patience until a credible reversal pattern or breakout above resistance is established.

Technical framing points to monitoring near-term support clusters and any bear-market retests. If price fails to reclaim $113k convincingly and breaks back toward $110k or lower, the likelihood of a deeper correction increases. Conversely, a sustained bounce with strong volume above $113k could set a higher-low and reintroduce upside potential, though it would require compelling catalysts to gain traction.

Recommendation

Actionable stance: tread carefully in the near term. If you’re currently exposed, consider tightening stops or trimming long exposure on rallies toward $113k to protect against a renewed drive lower. For new entrants, a wait-and-see approach is prudent until Bitcoin demonstrates a clear bounce above resistance with above-average volume.

Trade plan cues: target a reversal signal above $113k with confirmation on volume; set risk controls around the $110k–$112k region as a potential zone for reentry on a measured pullback. Continuously reassess macro risk and on-chain dynamics to adjust exposure incrementally rather than taking on full risk at current levels.

In sum, the risk-reward skews toward staying cautious until a verifiable bottoming pattern forms and a sustained recovery takes hold.

Disclaimer

The Analysis and recommendations provided are for informational purposes only. Any investment decisions should be made at your own risk. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

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