BTC quantum risk: a 50/50 chance by 2030—what it means for bitcoin today

Here's my take on the BTC note from Solana founder Anatoly Yakovenko. He says there’s a 50/50 chance quantum computing could break bitcoin cryptography by 2030. That’s a serious risk to the security model many investors rely on. It’s not a prediction that BTC will fail, just that the timeline for quantum resistance isn’t clear. If true, it could mean a need for post-quantum security updates or new cryptographic approaches to safeguard holdings. From a practical angle, this doesn’t mean sell everything now. It does suggest staying informed on the development of quantum-resistant standards and monitoring how exchanges and wallets adapt. Diversification across assets and robust security practices remain sensible, especially for long-term holders who could be impacted by any cryptographic updates. In short, the concern is real but uncertain in timing. The community should watch for progress in post-quantum cryptography and any plan to upgrade BTC’s security without disrupting users.