Contrarian: ETH May Hold Above $4K Despite Expected Pullback

I think the consensus that ETH will pull back to $3,900–$4,000 makes that outcome less likely — crowded expectations can be self-defeating. Traders positioned for a drop can create a liquidity setup that actually fuels a squeeze upward.

I'm watching leverage, stop clusters and volume: if sellers are thin above current levels, a failed retracement becomes more probable than a smooth decline. That raises my bullish tilt but requires confirmation.

I'm not ignoring risk — I'll size positions conservatively and use stops. If price breaks lower with convincing volume, I'll reverse the view rather than cling to the contrarian thesis.