Missed Aster profits due to timing

The author acknowledges a timing mistake in managing ASTER, selling too early and missing substantial upside. The core factor is decision timing under partial information and emotional pressure (FOMO). The lack of re-entry suggests either risk aversion or a lack of a defined re-entry plan, which is common in volatile crypto markets. This highlights a need for a clear trading framework that accounts for opportunity cost, position sizing, and predefined exit/entry criteria to avoid ad hoc actions in fast-moving markets.

Contextual factors include the rapid price swings typical of crypto assets and the tendency to conflate near-term regret with long-term value. The user indicates a “bull market” mindset that emphasizes missed opportunities; however, over-trading or impulsive exits can undermine core strategy. A disciplined approach would balance risk tolerance with systematic re-entry signals, ensuring decisions are based on rules rather than emotion.

From a risk perspective, the episode underscores the importance of documenting catalysts, setting stop/entry rules, and maintaining a probabilistic view of trade outcomes. The negative experience with AVANTIS is noted but unrelated to ASTER’s longer-term potential; diversification and position management can help prevent overexposure to one idea while still participating in upside moves.