PENGU likely short-term hype — $1 unlikely without major adoption

I think PENGU is currently driven more by social hype than by proven fundamentals. It can produce sharp pumps on Solana momentum, but I wouldn’t assume it’s a guaranteed long-term “Solana masterpiece.”

A $1 target is only realistic if the circulating supply is tiny or the token captures massive adoption — otherwise it implies an extremely large market cap that’s unlikely without clear utility, partnerships, or sustained demand.

Shorting can look tempting after a hype pump but is risky because of low liquidity, holder concentration, and possible sudden re-ramps. I’m watching on-chain metrics, liquidity depth, audit status, and token unlock schedules before taking a directional trade; if I trade, I’d size positions small and use strict risk controls.