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Quick BTC Reversal Reflects Profit-Taking, Not Panic

I note Bitcoin briefly hit $124,089 before sliding under $117,500, wiping out about $227M in leveraged longs. The sharp move looked headline-driven rather than a panic unwind: futures premiums held near 9% and options delta skew around 3%, both neutral.

US July PPI and slightly lower rate-cut odds provided some pressure, but the bigger immediate shock was a clear statement from the Treasury that it will not expand BTC purchases, quashing hopes tied to the March executive order.

Macro risks remain — US debt is above $37T — yet central bank balance-sheet expansion could still be a tailwind next year. For now, traders are taking profits at the highs rather than capitulating, and conviction for a sustained push to $150K is muted.

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Analysis

Price action shows a large intraday reversal driven by headlines and profit-taking; derivatives metrics (futures premium, delta skew) are neutral, implying no broad deleveraging or fear-led sell-off —...

Recommendation

I recommend waiting for clearer confirmation before initiating new longs: stay flat or hold existing positions, look for sustained strength above $120–124K and improving funding/skew signals before ad...

Disclaimer

The Analysis and recommendations provided are for informational purposes only. Any investment decisions should be made at your own risk. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

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