September Pullback Likely Before Bitcoin's Year‑End Peak

I see the recent analysis highlighting recurring post‑halving fractals: Bitcoin has often rallied through July–August and then experienced a meaningful September reset. That pattern showed up in 2013, 2017 and 2021 and appears to be repeating this cycle.

At the same time, TechDev’s timing signal (≈420 days to cycle tops) suggests the market may still have room to reach a later peak this year. In other words, a near‑term pullback in September would not necessarily negate a subsequent run toward the cycle high.

Given that mix, I prefer caution: I would avoid initiating large new long positions into September, de‑risk or reduce leverage, and look to scale in on confirmed weakness or after the expected reset.