Skeptical on $250K Bitcoin Call — Watch for Rally Confirmation

I note the Cardano founder's claim that August could kick off a 6–12 month rally sending Bitcoin to $250,000 by year-end. It's an attention-grabbing forecast, but it's an opinion rather than a market signal.

I view the $250K target as highly speculative given current macro, on-chain flows and liquidity conditions; reaching that level in a few months would require large, sustained capital inflows and supportive risk appetite. I won't treat this statement as a reliable trigger to materially change positions.

I will watch for objective confirmation — sustained exchange outflows, spikes in futures open interest skewed to longs, and clear technical breakout — before increasing exposure; until then I prefer to wait or manage size tightly.