comment

Small net profit after BTC rally — 3.3% over 200 days

Okay — here’s how I see it: I have to return $50,000 in USD and $50,000 in BTC, but Bitcoin rose 30% over these 200 days, so the BTC leg moved against me.

I calculated that because of that 30% BTC rally I’m effectively forced to add an extra $5,000 to cover the BTC repayment. The arithmetic I used is $1,900 + $5,800 − $5,000 = $2,900 total profit.

That equates to a 3.3% gain over 200 days. If I express it relative to the initial BTC position as I did, it becomes 3.3% × 0.8 = 2.7% from the original Bitcoin exposure.

Source available for registered users Sign Up Free

AI Analysis

The opinion lays out a straightforward reconciliation between a USD obligation and a BTC obligation after a large BTC price move. Because BTC rose ~30% over the 200-day period, the BTC repayment requi...

AI Recommendation

Given this outcome, I would monitor Bitcoin price action closely until the repayment is settled. The BTC rally forced a $5,000 top-up that materially reduced the net gain, so staying aware of further ...

Disclaimer

The AI analysis and recommendations provided are for informational purposes only. Any investment decisions should be made at your own risk. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consider consulting with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

You might also be interested in: